Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Bandit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Palabra | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Cheese Bread | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamy Deal | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Magnificent | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peppered Gal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Credo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olivia Antoinette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Live Affair | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reddingandlee | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Vision | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Klimtomaniac | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baron of the Nile | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Runner | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Billy Bowlegs | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somersetslastride | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dee’s Legs | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bet All the Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hit the Bullseye | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crawfish Burl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Silk | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mopac Traffic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Bella | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Countess | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Custom V K W | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La. Grand Slam | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Dixie Lady | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Deal | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takeittothehouse | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deal Breaking Dame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kajun Karma | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bind Faith | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinitesimal | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bleep Bleep | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Bird | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quarter Rat | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Thimble | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shankinstine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Runninginthemoney | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Inspector Ed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Real Action | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dubaian Money | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arjun for Karz | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joe Birdeaux | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Lagarto | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabbys Bling | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Jude | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tresillian | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seasonal Love | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Rage | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santiago Province | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shake Em Bella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Lover | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Avenger | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A’debris | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forsaken | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preferito Da Barbi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G E H Giants Way | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jamaican Me | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Paid | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Island Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stephanie’s Maria | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In B. J.’s Honor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molto Vino | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sthepanie Princess | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Bead Lady | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Dancer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flower Cat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Flintstone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charco | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pomeroy Haze | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Wings | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor Chow | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Risky Priority | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sparkin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trabr’s Creed | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bankroll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mangum | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harpeth River | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortuity | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biloxi | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ballinonabudjet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Venn | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | French Composer | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fiesty Fist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out Run’m | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dare to Fail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.