Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grace Given | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strabella | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosario’s Prayer | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Floris | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Laughter | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honors Legacy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cumberland Falls | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charm of the Song | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Kentucky Starlet | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Stagflation | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Zorra | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chica Arma | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Computadora | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Lucys | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charm of the Song | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Kitten | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Romantic Dancer | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evocation | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stagflation | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itookdamoneyhoney | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Pom Pom | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Starlet | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vino Frizzante | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Save Time | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Dollar a Day | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viable | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Again | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dia Estelar (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Lily Mae | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Christinabarcelona | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Me Sweet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sensible Choice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Cat | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes to Champagne | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mint Driven | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extremely Gruntled | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krickle | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tammy’s Cruiser | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Doll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Joy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paris Surprise | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Ocean | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Research Results | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Boss | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Law | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caller | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Initialize | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Freedom | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Symphony | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Demetrius | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Publicity | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Grand Stan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Four Top | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Two Toddies In | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cloudy Holiday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sycamore Shoals | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viveca | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Wife | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeline’s Promise | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mindy’s Union | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tickin Time Blonde | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exclusive Star | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Midnight | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Appeal | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chatter | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Northern Voyage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Golden Gamble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Divine Wind | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Endless Fashion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gifted Candy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star of Wonder | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch Ride | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolo Rapido | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snead | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pappy’s Revenge | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society Man | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zatara | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodcourt | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vitality | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oeuvre | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Gun Girl | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shootoutthelights | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Off Ramp | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B G Warrior | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | L J’s Emma | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bling | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All I Want Is You | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Charm | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shoshanah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer in Aiken | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | El Queso Grande | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzlemesilver | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Enjoyment | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sutherland | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Aiken | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fenwick | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everdoit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dewy’s Beast | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magia Nera | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Abadin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rockstar Red | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.