Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Half Full 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Loudthundrhevyrain 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Cajun Cyclone 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Gildersleeve 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Flat Out Runner 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Kit Kat Kidd 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Skippa 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Back Bayou 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Heza Sexy Zong 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sunset War 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Half a Buck 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Apriority Avenger 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Speightful One 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Patio’s Porch 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 My Uncle Leon 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Taysom 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Deal With Him 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cigar Van 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Violent Gigi 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Napoleonic Code 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Cheatin Charlie 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Texas Turbine 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Double Trap 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Real Action 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hard Candy Kisses 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dat’s a Goode One 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lexi’s Fury 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Uno Pea 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 The Lady Bulls Eye 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Double Cute 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mallory’s Ocean 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Day Storm 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prado’s Priority 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alterana 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Hardly Able 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Premium 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Hostile Afleet 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Tee Burns 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 In the Arch 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Carbon Stryker 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Affirm Chief 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Half an Apple 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moment to Preach 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tuscan Saint 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Elwin 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Princess Kaiulani 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Lagunera 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Laryscountrygirl 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Marielita 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Trakas 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Slug Bug 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mary Jack 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mumblebee 12.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Zing 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Emityaaz 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 J Z’s First 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Our Little Girl 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Seriously Sassy 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Be a Bandit 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Harlans Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cashew 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hardly Mischievous 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ring Twice 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prodigy Paradise 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Guitar Doctor 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Astrologysprotege 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sassi D 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Drewmazing 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Doublediamond Deal 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Otra Cosa 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Maximus Freedom 4.50 7.6 14-1
3 3 Baby’s Last Dance 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I’m a Night Train 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Knight’s Gold 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Forest Beast 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Bootlegger Bay 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Muncle 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Starship Festival 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Country Hit 12.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Three Sevens 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Lt. Tent 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sixteen Degrees 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Romancing Ms Judy 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.