Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Chasing Stardom |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Warrior’s Vow |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dr Bayter |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Magical Jaime |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fenwick Jack |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rabbit |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sir Cupid |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tough Workout |
10.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Milagroso |
10.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bluey |
15.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gamerun |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cabra Chica |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chloe Rose |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Old Head |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesomenewyear |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Erin’s Enthusiasm |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Boca Royalty |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oscar Gaze |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Melodia |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bahama Pearl |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Jake Brake Alley |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nuedorf |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome for Sure |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Youbetterbejoking |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carbonite |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiempo Perfecto |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Pity |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tucker Road |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fuego Sos |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aaraj |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cisco Kid |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dos de Oros |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Takemetothemoon |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Why Stop There |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crack the Code |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rumaway |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Travel Guide |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Lord Winsalot |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Olympic Romp |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brilliant Chase |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
First Deputy |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grand Pick |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mega Charlie |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Getaway |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dixie’s Two Stents |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doctor Doom |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Long Gray Line |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Emily’s On Fire |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Race Day |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ell Gray |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wiki Lio |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mayday Mayhem |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Emily’s On Fire |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Neighbelline |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bearly Working |
2.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stay Opportunistic |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Tap in Formation |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swing Oil |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Money |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Raisedaroofcharlie |
2.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eddiemush |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Harry’s Onthebeach |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reckless Place |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Modern Midas |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Minxzhippsdontleye |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Connecting |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
My Man Woody |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Wine and Roses |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alani |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Patty Brown Eyes |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wine and Roses |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Distraction |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Poetic Fury |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moose Mandy |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
The King Cheek |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
In Spades |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fightertown |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dylan’s Ruby |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amatteroftime |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Flay |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Silent Mode |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Supreme Being |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Divine Miracle |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Check My Six |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Liberty Runner |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Brother Charlie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sophia’s Prince |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Miracle Trip |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bullet Breeze |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Boy Tullio |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Have No Regrets |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sheer Dominance |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zona de Amigos |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Badbadbobby |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chasin’ Whiskey |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Liberty Runner |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
T’was the Night |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
October Bliss |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Star of Caesarea |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.