Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Dashingly |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dashingly |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Halone |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Splendora |
0.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sparrow |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justivar |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Island Cruiser |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rexford |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mas Rapido (GB) |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neon Lights (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kid Azteca |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lite Ranchin Kid |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rhythem On Stage |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Invincible |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lettheliquortalk |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Big Gain |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Last Call Paul |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Artist Point |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red On Sunday |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seattle Surf |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bellagio Bags |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Make It a Large |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Uncle John |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forty Niner Gold |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rhino |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Uncle John |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ratleff |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eastbound |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sanger |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
New York Dreams (GB) |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spiritist |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Dylan |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Toppers At Seaside |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Irish Rebel |
2.50 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spun Not Stirred |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burning Rubber |
3.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Candy Crusher |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Missile Cruiser |
4.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximus |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Targaryis |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noble Minded |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lil Richards Bello |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Evening Sun (GB) |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Leyas Candy |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kerry Gold |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bee Catcher |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grape Nuts Warrior |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moody Jim (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fly the Sky |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aurelian Man |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Low Expectations |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hapi Hapi |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Law Abiding |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stop Digging |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Asada Fries |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tecumseh Caroline |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lamporghini |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Ride |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Mama Sue |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Our Family |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Professors’ Pride |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blazing Bardot |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
What About Q |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Caitlin Fever |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloudy Women |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abazaami (GB) |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ready to Dare |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Margarita Girl |
1.20 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Schilflied |
8.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kitty Marren |
12.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Prime and Ready |
15.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mia Sorpresa |
20.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whirlwind |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amorita |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.