Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Pardon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruz Chica | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kuku | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kim Possible | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Pays the Toll | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curls Nite Out | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greenwich Pike | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | List | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not So Holy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Air It Out | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Latta | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not So Holy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Munyhungry | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucchesi | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code One | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plunder | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maestro | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D Day | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crusader Conrad | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Storm | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Free America | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vincita | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Emma | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Mo Cookies | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | La Fantastica | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheetah Lady | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Practical | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glean | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haut Les Coeurs | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miso Spicy (FR) | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classical Gas | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Wave | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lil’ Hottie | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Mystique | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tectonic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shirley Ann | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Get It Together | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Star Blessing (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Madison | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nay V Belle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titled Lady | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Home Game | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Jenallie | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Macho Girl | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backyard Money | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow Draw | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Andy Cant | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gatlinburg | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat On Time | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quebrancho | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’s a Angel | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Interlock Empire | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Six Kings | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin Gunner | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Enough | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bettera | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mikealicious | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federalism | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Federalism | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Trouble | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Stack | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leo Toro | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Satin Blue | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just the Sky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Bar | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get Twisted | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irina’s Charm | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Dig | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Grinning | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Steampunk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Random Harvest | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cairo Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All American Rose | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piroli | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Gunoe | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Run | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Raise Cain | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hero Status | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Escape | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Fast | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guntown | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piroli | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rambo Approved (URU) | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hayes Strike | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spencer’s Boy Luna | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rood & Riddle Dowager S.) – Rood & Riddle Dowager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chop Chop | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Chop Chop | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surprisingly | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anatolian | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Neecie Marie | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Let’sbefrankbaby (AUS) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever After All | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. Astor | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Heart Spin | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cozee Rags | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Embrace Me | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eternal Hope (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Three Priests (JPN) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sell It | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sneaky Feet | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Dandi | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stunning Bruno | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coastertothemoon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Banks | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pray for the Bear | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Baby | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Goal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Man of Mischief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bilderberg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | All the Luck | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beijing Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.