Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Factor Analysis 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 De La Cruz 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Side Street 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Vintage Vino 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Stop the Press 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Flicker (GB) 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 The Taco Lady 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 First Trumpet 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bella Voce 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Cool 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Five to Two 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bobby Jean 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Roman Goddess 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Princess Becca 2.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ariana Rye 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rare Art 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Grace and Grit 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 She’s Our Tiz 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mangetsu 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Opulent Restraint (IRE) 1.80 3.8 7-1
7 7 Fortuna Mia 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Duboff 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cruise to Catalina 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Clover Street 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Maggy’s Palace 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Foxy Cara 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Maggie T 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 The Shoe Lady 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 True Empress 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Speightful Lily 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jackson’s Dixie 0 0-1
1 1 Jackson’s Dixie 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Icy Reply 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Tosconova Beauty 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hazardous Humor 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bank On Anna 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Everlys Girl 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Ghostly Girl 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Backed by Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Answer the Call 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Focus Pocus 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dream On Cara 20.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Corri Felice 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Gregorian Solo 30.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lu’s Redemption 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Dance On Air 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Nikki Brainburst 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Eddies Rocket 30.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dreaming of Carli 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Tree House 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Wicked Reya 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Heavenly Light 4.50 1 2-1
7 6 Saratoga Snow 4.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 National Archive 3.00 9.6 18-1
9 8 Vino Samara 8.00 10.2 19-1
5 4 I Heard Somethings 20.00 10.3 20-1
3 2 C C Roulette 15.00 11.4 22-1
8 7 Leonora’s Secret 6.00 11.7 22-1
11 10 Lady Wisdom 12.00 11.8 22-1
4 3 Sky Low Low 10.00 12.3 23-1
6 5 Gabby’s Legacy 6.00 12.3 23-1
14 14 One More Dance 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Giant’s Audible 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 On a Summer Day 3.50 SCRATCH
1 11 Run Don’t Walk 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 16 Bryant and Cooper 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Kissed by Karma 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Theresasilverlinin 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shesalittle Edgy 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 It Takes Heart 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Belle of the Ball 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Trade Secret 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Killy Start 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Halo City 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Jackie the Joker 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Tyrona 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Island Fox 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Red Burgundy 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Midnight Concerto 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 From Hello 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Lady Jasmine 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bobby M’s Girl 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Highway Harmony 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Alette d’Oro 50.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Alley’s Song 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Bertrille 20.00 9.3 17-1
16 16 Chasing Daylight 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Roagna 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Summer Whirl 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Aunt Yola 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bunny Honey 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spirit of Esther 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Long Legged Queen 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Heavenly Girl 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lonchura 30.00 3 6-1
8 8 Autumn 3.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Kaaterskill 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Sinead 15.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Dulce Nina 5.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Funny Forecast 30.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Blue Suede Sue 8.00 11.4 22-1
2 2 Sherman’s Marlin 8.00 11.5 22-1
11 11 Artistic Success 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Majulu 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Barefoot Disco 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Good Mission 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Empire Magic 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.