Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nafisa 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Accuracy 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 Scarlet Avenue 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Philippa 1.40 3.5 7-1
2 2 Affair 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tahiti Iti 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fearless Soldier 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lottery Pick 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Oubabe 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 British Isles 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Joyrider 3.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Fireman Dan 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tequila Talkin 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Haywood 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Southern Slang 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Riverwalk 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Cody Boy 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Simplexity (IRE) 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grazen Gator 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 How About Pavel 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Renatus 1.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Chilly Philly 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mrazek’s Old Dream 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Only After Midnite 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Hey Jessie 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lansdowne (GB) 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vanzzy 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Zimba Warrior 2.00 4 7-1
5 5 Stop and a Tres 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Taishan 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Joint Venture 1.60 6.9 13-1
7 7 Tom and Jazzy 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quality Wins 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Caribbean King 8.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Prosper 2.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Osage Creek 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Crazy Cavalier 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Legitimate Target (GB) 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tomorrownevercomes 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Jetfire 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Andtheomofthebrave 8.00 9 17-1
2 2 Phoenix Flying 12.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Danzing Wild Cat 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pebbles B Awesome 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hearts Fantasy 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mujer de Oro 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Venice Vibe 2.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 My Kathryn Rose 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Aintafraidtodream 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Tail On Fire 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Nala 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Lure S.) – Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Seal Team (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Exaulted 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Man O Rose 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mi Hermano Ramon 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sumter 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 El Potente 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 War At Sea 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Sarwar (FR) 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Flashiest 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Daddy 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Promise Me Kat 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Faithful Truth 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Thirsty Destiny 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Don’t Tell Tammo 2.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Musical Number 4.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Iconic Memory 2.50 7.7 14-1
3 3 Cioppina Pasadina 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.