Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run Carlos 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rocking Tobe 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Reginald Aurelius 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Custom Star 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mymanrowen 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Whatta Life 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Gran Chico 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Friend’s Do Care 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Spiritual Mirage 8.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Spry Charlie 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Razz 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Daddy’s Finest 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wicked Trick 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Into Wishing 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Keys Included 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Butler Cabin 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Unanimously 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Catholic Guilt 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mr. Four Sevens 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 And Fifty 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Swamp Queen 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Factor of Time 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 All You 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Gloryland 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Wickedrevolution 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 She’s a Target 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Precious Money 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Gin and Tonic 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Graceful Star 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Half Sister 15.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Dreamchaser Jewels 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Thats Unbelievable 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hot Le Roy 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Bode’s Light 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nasty Exaggerator 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fahan 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Sarah’s Vision 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Fast Verdict 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Monitor Mills 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mr B Quiet 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Traelee 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Elusive d’Oro 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hanks 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Sir Eli 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Blessed Anna 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mean American 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Valtesse 3.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Cato’s Lady 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Tenacious Lady 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sweet Perfection 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Rain 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Payton’s Indian 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Scrapbook 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Start Well 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Midnight Trip 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 House Bourbon 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cajun Eddie 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Macho Beanie 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Creekside 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Heza Pickle 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Dude Drop Kid 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Touchdown Joe 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 White Ice 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cajun Mischief 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Pacificislandtime 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 American Dollars 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flawless Takeover 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Reaux Bina 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 The Rage of Art 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Little Z 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Come What Mae 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Saberfight 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mo Dixie Diva 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Run Bambi Run 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Indy Lover 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Grace’s Soldier 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kentucky Cajun 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Emily’s Bullet 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Tommie G 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Nodah 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Lightening Mo 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Starship Jambalaya 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 That’s My Mama 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Guitar Woman 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lil Chilly 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 One Line Ruler 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Gal Layla 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Autumn Rob 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Astrology Wonowon 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Whatdidwedo 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Benissimo 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Chief Harlan 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Wildcats’s Meow 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 My Uncle Billy 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Strong Diamond 4.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Kah Nigh 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Arch of Swords 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Kats Pick 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 More Money Mo 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.