Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa Terra | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Lord Miles | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Costa Terra | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bramito | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun It | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Locked | 0.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Miles | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Chic | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thrill of It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Prove Worthy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cool Operator | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Indianquest | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Smile Mon | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Street Swagg | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Principe d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Provision | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Rakia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey N Soda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Awad S.) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Valuation Metric | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concord Green | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aviator Gui | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Dashing | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surfside Moon | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McDiesel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Authorized | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flamingproposition | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Street View | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Finest Hour (FR) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sale Leaseback (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Purrfect Girl | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | True Myth | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jenas Mercy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Underthemistletoe | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Park Avenue Betty | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashdale | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Looks First | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Looking for Ginny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classic Cara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ain’t No Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Focus Pocus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camera | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Camera | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Shea D Lady | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fade to Grey | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Adieu | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinderella’s Cause | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Music | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistler’s Style | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toned Up | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whocouldaskformo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | More Vino | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Unlimitedpotential | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Treaty Obligation | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Have You Heard | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Screaming Uncle | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Chrome | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Sorority Prank | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Modica | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waitlist | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ice Time | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Az U Chase Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iron Max | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Coal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twohonestmischief | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deemer | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calling Card | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Clarity | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trinity River | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sounds Like a Plan | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Firebreathingbrown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | George Briggs | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gunner’s Gold | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigfoot Sighting | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Sky Masterson | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | I’m Due | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Just Licorice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Real Savvy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cees Get Degrees | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Rules | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Poppy’s Pride | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Pipes and Drums | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Backside Buzz | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commerce Comet | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Mister J T | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Capture the Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 7 | Dangerous Ride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mondego (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Really Good | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneering Spirit | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daunt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irwin (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Imagination | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McCullough | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Harry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dynadrive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moore’s Law | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Retweet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prerequisite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papilio (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tufani | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirty Thou Kelvin | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Child of the Moon (FR) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edict (ARG) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Priests (JPN) | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amanda’s Folly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mason Mania | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Quality | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winter’s Ghost | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blake B. | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alternate Reality | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Victory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Banker | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutthemoney | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Fourteen | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Glimpse | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grandpa’s Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Strutsherstuff | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leslie’s Humor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mz Big Bucks | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Salvadorena | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broderie | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Vision | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masterof the Tunes | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coldhardstare (SAF) | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Progeny | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Getaway Palace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Obstreperous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Reconcile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.