Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosty Shop | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Nimmo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winooski | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gowokegobroke | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breath Deeply | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allegrini | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fifty One Fifty | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Cap | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Commisioner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Shop | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Til Dawn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prized Katz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Journey | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castagno | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speight’spercomete | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman Gerry | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Momza | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samaritano | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Abernathy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katies a Lady | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Valla | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weehawken | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Her Lots | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strand of Gold | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Delicious | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Go Koko | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adaay In Asia (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puckered | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Goodbetterbest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marshamarshamarsha | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gossiper | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicklow Gal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Storage | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beira | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puckered | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Enough | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champagne Brunch | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Vuela Paloma | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Hopping | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Satin Stone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oxar | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick to Charm | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blond Jak | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shisospicy | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Champagne Brunch | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neblina | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbounded Movement | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mimi Willy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing Tiger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the W | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boppy O | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Read On | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altazor (ARG) | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Eddard Stark | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vladislav | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steal Sunshine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Talkin Tipsy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Hopper | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American of Course | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Admissible | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Fled the Scene | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Spicy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | On the Nile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Great Venezuela | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holiday Pay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Pay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Amster | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Havildar | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Power Humor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scar | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trappezoid | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | T B Twelve Always | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Prime | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nashville Slew | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mustang Bucks | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Widerthanamile | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Devotion | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breezethrutime | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds N Thrills | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Jenelle | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Better Than Better | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aunt Jossy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.