Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Pleasant as Pie |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Whatchatalkinabout |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whatchatalkinabout |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Prankster |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vettriano |
0.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Acoustic Ave |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aggelos the Great |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Excellent Timing |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Creek |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jake Rocks |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Super Chief |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Emerald Forest |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Afternoon Heat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beach Boy Al |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bronx Bomber |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Charming |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
High Heat |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Salacious |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Creek |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ciao Chuck |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
9 |
Mr Flowers |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
10 |
Badge of War |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Duration |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Party With Smarty |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
5 |
Bernabeu |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1A |
8 |
Perretti (IRE) |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Western Run |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
11 |
Military Road |
0.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Accelerina |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Find Your Joy |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Violets Smile |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Permed |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dashing Della |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Play Free Bird |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
You’re Forever |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jay’s Love |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Proper Grammar |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ellen Jay |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Agra |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ready to Jam |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Time to Dazzle |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moonlit Lady |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Twirling Queen |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Golden Degree |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Progeny |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kairyu (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Chasing Colton |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beach Invasion |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oath of Omerta |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corvus |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Solar Glare |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Solo Mio |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hit the Post |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chasing Colton |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magni |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Barrie |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Miss City Girl |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Artemis Sound |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bossy Jeans |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Past Tense |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diamond Status |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
River Tay (IRE) |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boxed Wine |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starts Now |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Artemis Girl |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Downtown Channel |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baroness Bourbon |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rainingatthebeach |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Miscreant |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Bella Voce |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Coquito |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gram |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Floki’s Flight |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Exit |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Trouble |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seeking Unity |
4.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Didinger |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Celestial Glaze |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
St Andrews |
3.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fromanothamutha |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mystic Night |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
One Sharp Cookie |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run Carson |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Ni |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smokey Smokey |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twisted Filigree |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Works for Me |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Typhoon Fury |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barksdale |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Live High Live Low |
8.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Sharp Cookie |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Kid Kreesa |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Slapintheface |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
B D Saints |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Courtly Banker |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blame It On Daddy |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Slapintheface |
1.60 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ez Roll |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miracle Mike |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kid Kreesa |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Zapruder |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dolly’s Bank |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Your Mission |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Solo Empire |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Lister |
50.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
16 |
16 |
Hey Toby |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Land d’Oro |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Tomacon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lt. Mitchell |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.