Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pleasant as Pie 0 0-1
Whatchatalkinabout 0 0-1
6 6 Whatchatalkinabout 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Big Prankster 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Vettriano 0.80 3.5 7-1
2 2 Acoustic Ave 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Aggelos the Great 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Excellent Timing 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Creek 0 0-1
6 6 Jake Rocks 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Super Chief 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Emerald Forest 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Afternoon Heat 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Beach Boy Al 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bronx Bomber 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Always Charming 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 High Heat 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Salacious 20.00 1 2-1
5 4 Creek 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ciao Chuck 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 9 Mr Flowers 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 10 Badge of War 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Duration 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Party With Smarty 30.00 3.7 7-1
1 5 Bernabeu 4.50 6.3 12-1
1A 8 Perretti (IRE) 4.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Western Run 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 11 Military Road 0.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Accelerina 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Find Your Joy 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Violets Smile 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Permed 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Dashing Della 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Play Free Bird 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 You’re Forever 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Jay’s Love 15.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Proper Grammar 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ellen Jay 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Agra 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ready to Jam 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Time to Dazzle 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Moonlit Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Twirling Queen 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Golden Degree 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Progeny 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kairyu (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Chasing Colton 0 0-1
6 6 Beach Invasion 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Oath of Omerta 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Corvus 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Solar Glare 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Solo Mio 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Hit the Post 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Chasing Colton 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Magni 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Uncle Barrie 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss City Girl 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Artemis Sound 4.50 2.4 4-1
12 12 Bossy Jeans 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Past Tense 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Diamond Status 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 River Tay (IRE) 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Boxed Wine 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Starts Now 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 Artemis Girl 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Downtown Channel 6.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Baroness Bourbon 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Rainingatthebeach 30.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Miscreant 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bella Voce 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Coquito 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Gram 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Floki’s Flight 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Irish Exit 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Midnight Trouble 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Seeking Unity 4.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Didinger 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Celestial Glaze 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 St Andrews 3.50 8.1 15-1
1 1 Fromanothamutha 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Mystic Night 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
One Sharp Cookie 0 0-1
4 4 Run Carson 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Little Ni 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Smokey Smokey 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Twisted Filigree 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Works for Me 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Typhoon Fury 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Barksdale 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Live High Live Low 8.00 8.7 17-1
3 3 One Sharp Cookie 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kid Kreesa 0 0-1
Slapintheface 0 0-1
5 5 B D Saints 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Courtly Banker 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Blame It On Daddy 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Slapintheface 1.60 5.6 10-1
13 13 Ez Roll 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Miracle Mike 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Kid Kreesa 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Zapruder 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Your Mission 30.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Solo Empire 30.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 A Lister 50.00 10.6 20-1
16 16 Hey Toby 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Land d’Oro 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Tomacon 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lt. Mitchell 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.