Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Drop Bach | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morales Little Kid | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wemby | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inbound | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dudewithaname | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Chill | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Plenty of Time | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Dooly | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sleipnir | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackwater Falls | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| Wemby | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Termsofengagement | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Judge and Jury | 1.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takeschargesmiling | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Law | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Poppy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threethirtythree | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Genghis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Happy Tappy Tim | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame Catalaya | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nami | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amirati | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stephanie My Love | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dantastic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Averie Lynn | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cora’s Choice | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Illusion of Hope | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fabulous Candy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Water Witch | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| Happy Tappy Tim | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Staygoldponyboy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Replevin | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawkstone | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Son of Honor | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smuggler’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Batter Up | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razorback Army | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Emperor d’Oro | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tested | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Premier Cru | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Ready | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Davola | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| Staygoldponyboy | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Borracho | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Point Pelee | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Town | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infamous Nono | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Speed | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bar Down Express | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Tiger | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Colora Kid | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Callin My Name | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Forecast | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Right by U | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Juan | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bustin Shout | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sustenance | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Ride | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Almond Cider | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mundo Mix | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin the Palace | 10.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon and Ice | 10.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Makoto | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notion to Tapit | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dominguez | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miztergrandcentral | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nanga Parbat (GB) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Carmelina | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Bling | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bialystock | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merging Traffic | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Art Handler | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starforce | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kilkerran | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oxford Union | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walker’s Gap | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lilengthatcould | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Voiceover | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spikezone | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Tone | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Grit | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Tweed | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Printrack | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Ron | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ginger Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tavin | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Abbie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’sarollingstone | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Me Hardy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carroll Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Like Beth | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principia | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salagadoola | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Endless Reign | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a League | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny From Boston | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor the Cross | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carry Grant | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St Pete’s Passion | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Justice | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Tha Judge | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.