Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catalyzed (FR) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just So Pretty | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Counterinteligence (GB) | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Note | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Ready | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amendment | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Selfless | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Looking for Ginny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Taco Lady | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Geopolitics | 0.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon’s Mist | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lao | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Dantz | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amy’s Light | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Malu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Runnin’ Ray | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flat Out Flying | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Suerte | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skylander | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kahala | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Beachwalker | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Magnolia Midnight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Dangerous Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Twilight Tango | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cha Cha Wren | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timia | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Teller to Win | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Moonlight Gal | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Straca | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rodeo Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Immigration Law | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pretty Magical | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Anaconda | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coast Along | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fluid Situation | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tidal Forces | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gaslight Dancer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunedin | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fore Harp | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seaver | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Straight Arrow | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Riot House | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gun It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Biz Biz Buzz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bramito | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bolt d’Plata | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torpedo Run | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pujol | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trulli Warrior | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Confabulation | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Change Your Name | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Boy Butch | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitole’s Diamond | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forced Errors | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Neptune Beach | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elle Est Forte | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dean | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Sure Thing | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youknownothing | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victoria’s Dancer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lullaby Land | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heron Bay | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anileate | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toned Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Just Music | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome Force | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Starsinthecity | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | My Life Story | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scherzando | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spoken Bluntly | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Force | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starsinthecity | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Ed | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tomschickenfingers | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take the Gold | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie R. | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drive Thru | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Can’t Stand Disco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maximus Monster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Braca | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Feline Treasure | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Price Is Truth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.