Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jaysker |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lode of Blarney |
15.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corot |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Adios Carlos |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Promise |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Broadway Pete |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Half Ours N Stormy |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ojitos |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wesleyan |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bayou Beaux |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Crankshaft |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Heza Priority |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bobby Merlot |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sam’s Promise |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Livingston |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talk of the Town |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Doce de la Noche |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moonovermontgomery |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corked |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dynamic Sun |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mucho Macho Cam |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rocky Boy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Country Cut |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Berryville Bullet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Golden City |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kisster |
6.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lord Harmony |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Littlebitofaqueen |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Copper Crush |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Take It to Court |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classy Judy G |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
William’s Legacy |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Got a Secret |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
F T W Slam |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adieu Aces |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alvarado Cat |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tripple D Ruller |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Calibrachoamatters |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wishert |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lovely Sassicaia |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
J L Pac Man |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bouldering |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Baby’s Last Dance |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Our Determination |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
He’s Just Lucky |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zippy Toga |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bad Brad |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moon Trip |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
R T’s d’Oro |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Game and Gormley |
2.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perfect Strike |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
A True Target |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Story |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seeking a Soldier |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Briartown |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lo Lo’s Laughter |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
A Brush of Luck |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Deal Me Aces |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Daryl’s Bolt |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Howit Happened |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deep State |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sparra |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oceola |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Full of Glory |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Trabr’s Creed |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Marks Promise |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Up N Gone |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cliff Diver |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jeffrow |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Order Up |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nopenottonight |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Il Capitano |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moro Mafia |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ready to Purrform |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Inchhighatahundred |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Canal St. Cupid |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
A G’s Gem |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Dad’s Guitar |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Super Ekati |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silver Redesdale |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Watch the Coast |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Way too Tough |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tap to Connect |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Cajun Cruiser |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Leonardo Creed |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.