Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Unbreakable Trust 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Soi Ngern 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Snowdonia 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tapit Dynasty 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Charlie’s to Blame 2.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Canyahearmeknockin 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Iron (FR) 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Jimmy B 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Loch n’ Pharoah 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Max n’ Lou 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bartholdy 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dagger Ranch 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Semper Invictus 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Sully 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Extensive 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Just Before Dawn 1.40 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amelia Bleu 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 English Danger 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Leopardess (GB) 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Cheeky Gal 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Isabel Ludlow 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 She’s Splendid 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Falabella 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pushiness 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Don’t Ju Forget 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Report 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Nokie 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bolt d’Vine 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Becky’s Dream (FR) 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Nuclear 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Russells Hustle 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sweet Odyssey 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 In Suspense 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Empire’s Classic 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Whats the Buzz 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Broadway Unions 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 The Scent 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Resemblance 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Bolt’s Treasure 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Quality Wins 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wishes to Riches 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tiz Lissett 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Mayacama 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Moorea Time 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Uptown Preacher 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tiny Prancer 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ultra Game 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Rhyme Or Reason 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (California Flag H.) – California Flag H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Johnny Podres 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Fast Buck 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 On the Whim 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 None Above the Law 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Barely Funtional 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 So I’m Told 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Hacking It Up 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Last Call London 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Big Bet Jafinsafa 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gracie’s Big Day 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Apple Valley Girl 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Tropical Rain Day 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Stanford Hottie 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sunset Grazen 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 On Time Tam 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Skylight Ride 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Newport Dreamz 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Daddygaveittome 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Ryan’s Girl 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Nepal 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Going With Her 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hearts Fantasy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Time Mark 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Classically 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sir Maximus 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Kawazaki (IRE) 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Andreadytorumble 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bound to Succeed 12.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Uncharted 30.00 4 7-1
11 10 Stormin Midnight 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Eligio 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mongolian Champ 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 98 English Icon 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.