Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Dazzler | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Queen in the Deck | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Temper | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Dazzler | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fearless Lady | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mezcalifornia | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun Up | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Airforce Lightning | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Life | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Banker | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royalewithcheese | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Refuah | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Pride | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untroubled | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Candy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Headline Report | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quarrymen | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earl of Dassel | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Without Rein | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candymaker | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Spa | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Street | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shidabhuti | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unsung Melody | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Traveler | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Authentic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Make a Million | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starry Night | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Serving Time (GB) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Necessity | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poverty With Aview | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Authentic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Union | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Are You a Spy | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winter’s Legacy | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Candy | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bright Lady | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Ruthless | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Minnesota Munny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Poema | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Take Note of This | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fortunate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tempted Mission | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ember | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Proven Hope | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Right Tone | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Koselio | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sant’ Antimo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Rags | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beealea | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C R Insta Gator | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stirdatpot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boogie Bode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Burning Leaves | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marksman Queen (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Combination | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Regent (GB) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Boogie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tea N Conversation | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Foley | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Lady Bailey | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sabalenka | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Had That One Too | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Revenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Best Performer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Pleasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anywho | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upper Case | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asset Purchase | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame Day | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lure’em In | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Like Water | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Franklin S.) – Franklin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star of Mystery (GB) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roses for Debra | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dontlookbackatall | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Future Is Now | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elm Drive | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stone Silent | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pipsy (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kairyu (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Accomplished Girl | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Treat | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frost At Dawn | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pandora’s Gift (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | B G Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Beauty of the Sea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Twirling Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Night Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chattalot | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Heist | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Background | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friar Laurence | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Solidify | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insolito | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love the Nest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Durante | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harrodsburg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | G T Five Hundred | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.