Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Smile | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vespera | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Cream Boat | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fully Subscribed | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’ Argonaut | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire’s Out | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moody Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Me Slow | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watasha | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Joker | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collect From Ike | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neuschwanstein | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magia Nera | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got It | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watasha | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Mile | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heard On Thestreet | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collected Special | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Knickerbocker S.) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Redistricting (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Siege of Boston | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Washington | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andthewinneris | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reckoning Force | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Film Star | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prophet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Teta’s Trotter | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Responsibly | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | York Tavern | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I See You Lookin | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Purchase | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Hoppertunity | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Cara | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assertive Attitude | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scotto | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | All Night Revival | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vow to Resiliency | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winning Streep | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Banner Eighteen (FR) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snipsnippitysnip | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lying by Omission (IRE) | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point to That Star | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Laurelin (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Worth Considering | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vekoma’s War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Luckforyou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Party Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Social Hour | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moment’s Notice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City of Oscars | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Erling | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Magoo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Express | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McHale | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Money | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Vengeance | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Griffin’s Wharf | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Turk and Wendy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Broderick | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | High Tide | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Milton the Monster | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Optic Way | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Commandperformance | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Barese | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strong Light | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cumberland Blues | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Co Conspirator | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Disappearance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Overacting | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Snowy Evening | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Collaboration | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Busy Morning | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brocknardini | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Spooky Lady | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Betty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Munny Grab | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Central | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bustin Bay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Bon Adieu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sweetest Princess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bernt Again | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Maggie T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Laoban | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starlight Dancer | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sainte Chapelle | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hayes Bay | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Sessa | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherbourg | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Fiere | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holder Close | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Purest Performance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dream On Cara | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ashdale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | She Is All Busines | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Focus Pocus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pamplona Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.