Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tazman 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Secret Storm 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Dissectologist 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sparklet 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Today 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ry Pie 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Caught Speeding 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forest Woodsman 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Glorious Revenge 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Uncle’s the Banker 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Desrochers 15.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Question Mark 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Porshas Run 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Lemon Twist 3.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Left in My Dust 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Get Ready Set Fire 12.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Ashuka 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whiskey Row 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trinity Park 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Tax Included 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Moddassah 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Awesome Entry 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Ethnic Soul 5.00 8 15-1
1 1 Perfect Play 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Canadian Daddy 10.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Snookered 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Might Bee Speedy 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jack the Cat 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Victoria’s Chief 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cantucci 2.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 Bet N Win 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Hell Bent 3.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Robitaille 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Good Soldier 6.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Argentium 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Puddingontheritz 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Souper Success 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ready for a Fight 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Executive Search 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Spite Store 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Silent Miracle 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mannix (IRE) 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 U S Army Corps 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vandoo 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Classy Image 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Kantbackoff 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Home for a Rest 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Kikitsa 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 I’m a Bourbon Girl 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Souper Cop 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Spirit Bear 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 I’m Tenacious 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tunechi 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good as Gone 2.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rebelious 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Anita Margarita 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Bravo Kate 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Allegorical 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Cabernaydo 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Proud Ronin 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 H C Holiday 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Confusing 3.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Kiddie Holiday 20.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Timeskip 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Nonno’s Little Boy 4.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Ask in My Name 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Anselmo 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Mambointheforest 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Desolator 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Sir Samuel 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Stop the Humbug 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Coleyville 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.