Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
5 |
On the Equinox |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bessie Coleman |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lita Way |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
G’oro |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Glacier Rim |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tom’s Star |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shoot for the Sky |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
98 |
Miss Will |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Cajun Brother |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rassler |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Slew’s Joy |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Worth Looking |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Impossible Task |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Divine Rascal |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tahoe Secrets |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sunrise Journey |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ocasek |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kissmeyoufool |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tommy the Train |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal Curlin |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winsitwell |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Torleif |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ignatowski |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cangrejo |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Night Out |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sbagliato |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oobubbakakayo |
15.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Size Does Matter |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Petesoldfashioned |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Circleofchampions |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bert’s Prospect |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bear Hunt |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hot Legs Romolo |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Girlcanthelpit |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Auditory |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Gal |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pancho Barnes |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Take Caramie |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Noble Runner |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Round in Circles |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
98 |
Candyinthemorning |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Proof She Zips |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nene Diamond |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dorie Miller |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miz Clubcali |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sassy Prancelot |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Cap |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clubhouse Bride |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bold Choice |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Pax a Punch |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silverado Storm |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Run Abboudy Run |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Buttermaker |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valentines Candy |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Citizen Barrett |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empire Warrior |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Petrified |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Thirsty |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Phosphorescence (FR) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lahaina Flavor |
1.40 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jack Kerouac |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zalamo (FR) |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fireman Dan |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flint Stroll |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mongolian Altai |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kimmer |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.