Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Tyson 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gallant Knight 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Neshume 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Awesome Edition 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ripton’s Music 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Cosmo Prime 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Aegon Targaryen 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Words of Fortune 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Maximus Cat 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dove in Charge 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Kikilove 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Devra Warrior 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ideal Breeze 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 East Wing 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Velocissima 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Barbara 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blinging Burr 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timber 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Coral Dream 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tapit’s Shady Lady 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Not One Less 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 U Bet Jo’s Praying 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Giftbox Surprise 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dropkick Murphy 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Luna Warrior 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Souper Sunshine 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 D Coldest 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Midnight Chaos 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Calypso Charlie 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Don’t Answer 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Warlord Cruzan 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Awesome Wind 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr Narcissistic 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 No Deliberation 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Hope in Him 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Christensen 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Gepard 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Guaicaipuro 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Richy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bridle a Butterfly 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Emmett 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Rocka Storm 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 I Know I Know 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Legal Maneuver 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Makoa 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Forged Steel 1.40 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweet Cha Cha 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Splurge 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Foxy Lady 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Kaitie Kait 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Macassa 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Smart Jenny 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Drinks On Me 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Into Touring 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Good Bright Flames 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Both Sides 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 English Bob 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beastly Speed 1.60 1.4 3-1
7 7 Morgan Point 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Franks Mimi 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bandero 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Knox 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Magicshadow 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Grand David 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Indy Lyon 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Ocala Dream 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 You Talkin to Me 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tiz the Bomb 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Cashier Check 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 The Mar 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Selecto 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 A. P.’s Secret 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.