Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mr Tyson |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gallant Knight |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neshume |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Edition |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ripton’s Music |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cosmo Prime |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aegon Targaryen |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Words of Fortune |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maximus Cat |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dove in Charge |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kikilove |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devra Warrior |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ideal Breeze |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
East Wing |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Velocissima |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Barbara |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Blinging Burr |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Timber |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coral Dream |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapit’s Shady Lady |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Not One Less |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
U Bet Jo’s Praying |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Giftbox Surprise |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dropkick Murphy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luna Warrior |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Souper Sunshine |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
D Coldest |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Chaos |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Calypso Charlie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Answer |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Warlord Cruzan |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Wind |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mr Narcissistic |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Deliberation |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hope in Him |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Christensen |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gepard |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guaicaipuro |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Richy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bridle a Butterfly |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emmett |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rocka Storm |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Know I Know |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legal Maneuver |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Makoa |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forged Steel |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Cha Cha |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Splurge |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Foxy Lady |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kaitie Kait |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macassa |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smart Jenny |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drinks On Me |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Into Touring |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Bright Flames |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Both Sides |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
English Bob |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beastly Speed |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Morgan Point |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Franks Mimi |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bandero |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Knox |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magicshadow |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Grand David |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Indy Lyon |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ocala Dream |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
You Talkin to Me |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz the Bomb |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cashier Check |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Mar |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Selecto |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
A. P.’s Secret |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.