Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Biloxi 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ballinonabudjet 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Brite Outlook 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mr Midway 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 The Donegal Clan 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dare to Fail 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Wood River 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sonya Knows Better 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Don’t Box Me In 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Custom Sunshine 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Country Angel 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Dylan’s Dream 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gogo Bobbyjo 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Saint Isabel 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Troska 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Tarkington Girl 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Raise the Alarm 5.00 6 11-1
12 12 R T’s Cajun Lady 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Calera Love 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Super Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ragazza 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Play Mo 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Grunt 10.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Eye Dee Kay 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Iron in the Fire 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mighty Message 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lauri’s Wish 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lil Sweet Thang 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Magawildtime 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Chaosmos 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Speaktomeoflove 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Big Rojo 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sammy Danseur Jr. 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Awe Shackle 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 City Park 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 State of the Union 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Applewood 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Honor My Speed 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Swift N Traffic 20.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Nasty Exaggerator 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Big Brother 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Louisiana Jewel S.) – Louisiana Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secret Faith 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Morgan Leigh 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Warrior’s Justice 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Devil’s Pool 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Quite the Catch 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Call Me Susan 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sea Quest 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Magnolia S.) – Magnolia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Free Like a Girl 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Noneya 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Six String 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Thetruthisthetruth 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Miss Priority 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Olivia G 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 World War 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Sweet Alexis 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Lightofmaine 8.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Muchmorethanready 10.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Cute Dinero Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wonderrand 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Legacy S.) – Louisiana Legacy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Majority Opinion 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Regal Temple 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 A Million Moons 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Gift Giver 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lone Warrior 10.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Louisiana Jess 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Cup S.) – Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Who Took the Money 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Allnight Moonlight 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Blue Cheese 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Not On Herb 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Tdzshininluckystar 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Sunday Breeze 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mangum 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Wise Verdict 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 El Dinero 8.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Myglorybee 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Ballinonabudjet 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Brian’s Iron Mike 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zestiny 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Island Cabana 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Pennys Deal 8.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Majestic Palace 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Poppa Magic 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Causeway Benny 1.80 2.2 4-1
10 10 Mystic Hope 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Gem Buoy 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Patek 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mo Sopo 20.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Valid Deelite 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pegaso 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.