Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Style Me Royal 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Lemon Creek Louie 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Flat Lucky 1.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Elvirus 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Zipper Zapper 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Chief Alpha 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Caerus 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sir Chance a Lot 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hello Sunshine 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Kaladin 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Door Gunner Joe 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Notturno 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Edisto Aiken 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bad Mammer Jammer 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 John’s Promise 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Edward Madden 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Red Devolution 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Shanghai Superfly 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Thea’s Theme 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Mahomes Money 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pistol Or Shotgun 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dynamic Actress 0 0-1
6 6 Social Love 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Seger Songs 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 All Gas No Brakes 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 The Sugars 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Acheron 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mya Way 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Backseat Romance 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dynamic Actress 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Zenith 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Winning Streep 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Miss Hard to Get 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ladida 0 0-1
8 8 Buckin’ Great 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Virologist 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Style to Follow 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Bachelorette 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 La Macchina Rossa 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tina Tina Tina 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Survival Rose 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Ladida 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peachyness 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 In My Memories 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Ferociousness 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sevilla 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 My Vanilla 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Vanaka 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 A Shawtown Girl 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Payout Ratio (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dreaming of Abba 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Nature’s Candy 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Chicken Parm 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Blessed Touch 12.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Pleasant Dreams 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Liffey 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Blonde Samaritan 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Memphis Showboat 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Expecting a Winner 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Carroll Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Evie Does It 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Victoria’s Dancer 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Liberty Belle 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Velvet Vixen 0 0-1
7 7 I’m Bleu Too 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 S K Moon 1.60 2.4 4-1
2 2 Short of Dinero 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Velvet Vixen 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 No Walk Inthe Park 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Molly Malone 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Say No More 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.