Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Halmstad | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat On | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peek | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Producer | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Trea | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zeca Diabo | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gamblers Tail | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autumn Rhythm | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Autumn Rhythm | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Music | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Episode | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diagram | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Itwillbefun | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess of Omaha | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Decree | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Division | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Real Nice Surprise | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Rhythm | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tailored for Joy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dinahs Girl | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tegwar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run Jalen Run | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | B Sudd | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morunning | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cawkab | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior Richard | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devilsgotacause | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Googol Joke | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Searcy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Remi’s Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Skelly Road | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aint No Joke | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Taylors | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Eagle | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chun Money | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charbon | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deputy Mischief | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Line of Scrimmage | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Game Point | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Walt | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shortstop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Halfway Tempted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Weigh the Risks | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minoushka (GB) | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Do Gooder | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | For Love and Honor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red River Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Waves | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Street | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Lady | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Gambler | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Milieu | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Robin Sage | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Magic | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Get Twisted | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mystifying | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Leo Toro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Centuria (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catching Heat | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claret Beret | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarir | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belle Cherie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | These Apples | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runninthestreets | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mustang Lady | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leametatrainer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cararra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Margot’s Angel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stylet | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eunomia | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dawn After Dawn | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pediatric Princess | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trading Strategy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Tapit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zen Dreams | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Poppyland | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geez Eloise | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Going to the Sun | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nana Grace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Trading Secrets | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alongcomesawoman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | McKinzie’s Glory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Masteroffoxhounds | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ T | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Dude | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gigante | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chasing the Crown | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Bee | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan Estate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tonka Warrior | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Fireball | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Jake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | World Record | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Usually Wrong | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slider | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go the Distance | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bowstreet | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proprietary Trade | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agoo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Market Street | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatchatalkinabout | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baxley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Half Dome (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secured Lender | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phreddie Mac | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Jackal | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Dover Specter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lou’s Legacy | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fayette Spirit | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eternal Mischief | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oscargot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Maker | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Thomas | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Finn McSorley | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Golden Symphony | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cloudy Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Publicity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | General Issue (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.