Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Running Ragged | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella’s Boss | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mardi Gras Mambo | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hawija | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seitan | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Ready to Win | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imperial Dynasty | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Ryan | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior and a Half | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My First Deal | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yakety Yak | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One More Sleep | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Deal | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dee’s Legs | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tucker the Grump | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Avery’s Gem | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cool Ride | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C F Henry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zapaway | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Styling Hook | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gran Chico | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hold My Hat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deelitesandimsum | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Distinctly Golden | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Water Tester | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yakety Yock | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deal Em Justice | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Mitole | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | C F Spunie Style | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Special Star | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | V Cut | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dubaian Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jess’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Guest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mschitchattour | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryan’s Grace | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lily’s Creed | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tolatetoowait | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Agami | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lacis Jewel | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miz Jameson | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cozzolani | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prado’s Priority | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Bert | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | India Ink | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Charlie | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geaux Sugar | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brahms Boy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mud On My Boots | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bayou Beaux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Astrologysprotege | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Butchy Boy | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Contrabandist | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Smile | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Y d’Oro | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Map of Donegal | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Does Not Compute | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Greatizlove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stephanie’s Maria | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bling It K K | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sthepanie Princess | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Lil Psychotic | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takeover Queen | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day for the Gray | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pulpit’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Leona | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kokomo Starlet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Bullet | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Stack | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Melody | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Feature | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah in the House | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secretly Sweet | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Cigarette | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Lilah Ann | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Mo Tom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miz Mastery | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Secret Tee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.