Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sugar Gray Leonard 5.00 1 2-1
1 7 Quick Hammer 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 2 Thank You Jon 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Badlands Ruler 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 9 Devil’s Cay 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Grumley 20.00 4 8-1
4 3 Whenlovetakesover 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Midnight Worker 12.00 6.7 13-1
1A 8 Magnificent Mile 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marco T. 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Rocket 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Autumn Glory 15.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Im Just Kiddin 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Solib 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Latest Edition 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Sue Ellen Mishkin 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Foxy Cara 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Queens Masterpiece 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kerry 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Echo in Eternity 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Racing Colors 6.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 April Antics 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Call Her Bluff 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Brown Suga Babe 1.40 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bernietakescharge 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Amity Island 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Krystalheir 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kalik 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Bodecream 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Street Ready 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 He’s Got This 15.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Ever Dangerous 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Bar Fourteen 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dreampoint 30.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Khafre 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Sell Something 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Life and Light 50.00 9 17-1
12 12 High Tide 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mailman Money 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bossmakinbossmoves 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Magnolia Midnight 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Valenzan Day 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Suerte 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pretti Xtreme 2.50 1 2-1
9 10 Everlys Girl 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 R Funny Bizness 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Condiment Girl 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ghostly Girl 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 My First Love 5.00 7.6 14-1
1 2 Gringotts 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 9 Jolly Miss Jill 20.00 9.6 18-1
1A 8 Carbon 6.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Joey the Fish 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 J D Factor 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Chalky Cat 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Conniving 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Irie Man 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Royal King 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Giant’s Fire 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Boom Boom Thunder 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Muazarah 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Solo in Paris 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Brisbane (FR) 0 0-1
9 9 Determined Lilly 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Toasted Roll 12.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Aspen Dawn 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Awesome Czech 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 By Any Other Name (AUS) 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Striker Has Dial 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Venencia (FR) 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Proud Mary 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Risk Free 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Brisbane (FR) 5.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Bon Adieu 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Save Us Melania 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Best Impression 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kyla’s Kause 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tahila 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Blossoming Erudite 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Froghollowsummer 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Sunshine Theft 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Dreamworkin 4.50 7 13-1
1 1 Mischievous Trick 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Backcheck 5.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 O K to Dance 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Deflection Point 20.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Maria Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cara’s Dreamweaver 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wild Mischief 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Infastuation 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Forever to Go 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dynamitendiamonds 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.