Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mazoku | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Home | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sequin Lady | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Sway | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samarita | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Protomagic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Souvenir | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ella Frances | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Spinning Heart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maliblue | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Ridge | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tie Breaker Lennie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Early Munny | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Illusion | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Masked Man | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly by Night | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Vintage | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Luke | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Idiosyncrasies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Invulnerable | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Improbable Journey | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Normandy Hero | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crew Dragon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dutch Mills | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chryso Alogo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound Doctrine | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upstriker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| El Cerrito | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Stage Left | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Just Say When | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Ollie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appeal Denied | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tallahatchiebridge | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vulcan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Monterey Peninsula | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Cerrito | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lykan | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Upstriker | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Metallic Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Ice Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrasteia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Sauce | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raconteuse | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Meis (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Megeeth | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Feeling Beachy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adrasteia | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stephanieswarrior | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Enchant | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Kitten | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Argentinidad | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth of May | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Estuary | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Lost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Underthemistletoe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Weighted Average | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shezthefactor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kinetic Control | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Morlock | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bracket Buster | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cooper | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monet’s Magic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Shot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freaky | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Otter Mischief | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fever Night | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discotheque | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Beater | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Seattle Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spurgeon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Rose | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedazzle ‘Em | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicountess | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Enchanted | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moscato | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Little Song | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Green Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clever Mischief | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katheeb | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boltage | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sovereigns Joy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Rey Rey | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Roundtop | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ocean Victory | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Sambalover | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Over and Ollie | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big to Do | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Black Rain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thornbury | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Count Dracula | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Born Flashy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.