Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Oscar Joy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Royalty |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
News At Ten (GB) |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Central Dispatch |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Don’t Get It |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gypsy Tears |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Dog |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Simplexity (IRE) |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
September Magic |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nanci Griffith |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marinas Tina (IRE) |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheekiest |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Vengeance |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maturity Date |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Temper |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cash Call |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rose A |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aunt Mo |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just as Fancy |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mawu |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pura Vida Princesa |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximun Gold |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jack’s Magic Girl |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thought Process |
0.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Casalu |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tigerish |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ce La Vi Charli |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tequilaandtherapy |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Eastside Cool |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Low Expectations |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nauvoo |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Man Friday |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moody Jim (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saqeel |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wind Ninety Nine |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cyprus Moon |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not A Sinner (GB) |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blissterinthesun |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ashley |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Step It Out (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cailin Dana |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Rose |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Gem |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shea Brennan |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Style Cat |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pokerknightatvees |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Panuco |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Binging |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Trust Me |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
It’s a Factor |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Artislas |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Iron Man Cal |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Heisman |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kale’s Angel |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ivan the Great |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sabertooth |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cali Cat |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Evco |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Honeymoon Suite |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Touchdown Brown |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Devil Among Us |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rogue Son |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always On Cay |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Erebus |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Threebrothers |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Des Doigts |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carol’s Comic |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Runamileinmyshoes |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shezmisbehaving |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quantum Innergy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smart Monique |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Song of Fire |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Satellite Heart |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ashleys Sandcastle |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Monclaire |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Love Our Family |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Only Reputation |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ultimate Hy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Big Mama Sue |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.