Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Oscar Joy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Irish Royalty 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 News At Ten (GB) 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Central Dispatch 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 I Don’t Get It 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gypsy Tears 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Blue Dog 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Simplexity (IRE) 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 September Magic 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nanci Griffith 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Marinas Tina (IRE) 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cheekiest 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sweet Vengeance 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Maturity Date 3.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Golden Temper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cash Call 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Rose A 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Aunt Mo 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Just as Fancy 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mawu 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Pura Vida Princesa 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Maximun Gold 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jack’s Magic Girl 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Thought Process 0.40 1.7 3-1
2 2 Casalu 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tigerish 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ce La Vi Charli 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tequilaandtherapy 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eastside Cool 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Low Expectations 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Nauvoo 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Man Friday 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Moody Jim (IRE) 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Saqeel 5.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Wind Ninety Nine 1.80 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cyprus Moon 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Not A Sinner (GB) 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Blissterinthesun 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ashley 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Step It Out (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cailin Dana 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Irish Rose 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sweet Gem 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shea Brennan 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Style Cat 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Pokerknightatvees 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Panuco 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 I’m a Bad Boy 2.00 5 9-1
2 2 Binging 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Just Trust Me 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 It’s a Factor 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Artislas 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Iron Man Cal 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 R Heisman 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Kale’s Angel 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Ivan the Great 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Sabertooth 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Cali Cat 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Uncle Evco 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honeymoon Suite 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Touchdown Brown 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Devil Among Us 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Rogue Son 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Always On Cay 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Erebus 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Threebrothers 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Des Doigts 20.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Carol’s Comic 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runamileinmyshoes 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Shezmisbehaving 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Quantum Innergy 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Smart Monique 20.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Song of Fire 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Satellite Heart 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ashleys Sandcastle 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lady Monclaire 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Love Our Family 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Only Reputation 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Ultimate Hy 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Big Mama Sue 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.