Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Code Duello | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Apollo | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zio Jo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talklessworkmore | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tejon Pass | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Explain This Audit | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mici’s Express | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pop d’Oro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legitify (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picking It Up | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Drinker | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritist | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War On the West | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Alert | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree) – Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nooni | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenma | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In the Air Tonight | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Showers | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Non Compliant | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Om N Joy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Magic Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rio Del Sol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dreamaway | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smash It | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Happy | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pali Kitten | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowdonia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kale’s Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Timty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Bad Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vlahos | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pilot Commander | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Pill | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All That Glory | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captivating Boy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wendelssohn | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Schwarzmeier | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rivoli | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarantino | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizzyaan | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Mizzyaan | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Fire Ban | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’z the Law | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sophisticate | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Well Funded | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Helga Brandt (IRE) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interplay | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holly Goquickly (FR) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt’s Broad | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mizzyaan | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Be Boss | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Azteca | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Magic Philly | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kirstenbosch | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Wahine | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chismosa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Anywho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hope Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Iscreamuscream | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Glory (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Grove (IRE) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hang the Moon | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse) – American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | McKinzie Street | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Getaway Car | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen Bull | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Bay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief River | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show of Force | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Start Mo Up | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coach Chuck | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curvino | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King’s Road | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warrior | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Legitimate | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Uncle Dude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unrivaled Hero | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Video Review | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stingray Shuffle | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farley Hall | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Tariff | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.