Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Full Irish 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wickline 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 P Money 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Buckin’ Dreamer 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Lost and Confused 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ruffner 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dalinar 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Class Photo 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rocket Dragon 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shape Note 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Anonymously 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Seamstress 2.50 1.9 3-1
5 5 Our Liberty Belle 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Lady Serenity 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Enemynumbernine 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bound by Destiny 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Business Model 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Grey Streak 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Naked and Famous 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Brother Brad 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Street Copper 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tom Hagen 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kendama 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Prince Khozan 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Nantasket Beach 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Switzer 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Wish Me Home 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Native Thunder 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Morning Thoughts 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kerness 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Mainstream Sellout 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Workislife 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Motskari 4.50 3.5 7-1
1A 9 Kick Startness 1.60 4.2 8-1
6 6 Omar Comin 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Catire Vizcaya 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Admit Nothing 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Langlee Avenue 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Melt With You 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Whatahardmanfidead 20.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Tubtimsiam 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 El de Larry 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sunshine Frolic 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Rapper Zapper 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Silverbullettwenty 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ballyhoo Prince 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fair Haired Boy 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Good Knight Nile 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stage Call 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 General J R 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Freestanding 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Le Griffon 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Happy Jaunt 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Chuck Adams 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bassanio (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Banditsgoldenchild 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prince of Iron 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gentle Breeze 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Without Pretence 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Aaraj 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Nancy Made My Day 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Unswayed 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dats Tap 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Arctic Outbreak 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Catalina Storm 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Dats Mr. Tap 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Roll On Jesse 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lex’s Game 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Ecliptical Zip 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Potcake 10.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Coiled 2.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Real Eleve 1.80 9 17-1
9 9 Kitty’s Son 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pharoah’s Marc 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pay Billy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Warden 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Say You Love Me 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Daze 0.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Atlantis Queen 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Thunder in Paris 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wynsome Cat 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Vino Limone 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Laughing Fit 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dirty Gold 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Dropping Lemons 8.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Mer Soleil 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Thy Name Is Woman 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 X Gene 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Last Glance 30.00 4 8-1
6 6 Have a Chance 30.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sun Cross 3.50 6.9 13-1
3 3 Ballroom Eyes 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Minari 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.