Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Yorke | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hank Hill | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One True Shance | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallo de Fuego | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J David | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotline Blink | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavanal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Altobelli | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pray for the Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Gallop | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turnbuckle | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | States’ Rights | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anegada | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Hill | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rag Tree | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Rematch | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dom Traces | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Drum (FR) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Culture War | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Viking Sun | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Scheme | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | My Father’s Place | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honor Point | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sand Cast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bee Bluff | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complex Secret | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buriana | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impulse Buy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Illuminatrice | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Planiloquent | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quantum Burst | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberation Day | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Air | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bench | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Red (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liar’s Poker | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beuys (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Villain | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Degree of Risk | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Trail | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Berrettini | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lincoln Highway | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bakwena | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Big Hat Willie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Desert Duke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kirin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Music | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eighty West | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ace It | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hedge | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Roar | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Hair Sam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sexagenarian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Charbonnay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel) – Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Souper Quest | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nobals | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Timer | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Xy Speed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coppola | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arzak | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Shot | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Foxtrotanna | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gear Jockey | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charcoal | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let My People Go | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Determined Kingdom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Axthelm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hedwig | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Thoroughbred Club Of America S.) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Wind | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Unhinged | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zeitlos | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Carpet Ready | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for the Hills | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brightwork | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anywho | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (First Lady S. Presented By Uk Healthcare) – First Lady S. Presented By Uk Healthcare
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ag Bullet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whitebeam (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chili Flag (FR) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gina Romantica | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walkathon | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Implicated | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evvie Jets | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Safeen | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fluffy Socks | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarawa (IRE) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Wan (IRE) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ferocious | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ready for Peace | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tenacious Leader | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mesero | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dapper Moon | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Filoso | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | East Avenue | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optical | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Pants | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Boat | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Cruiser | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Coolmore Turf Mile S.) – Coolmore Turf Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talk of the Nation | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Than Looks | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Bee | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of St Louis | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Equity (FR) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noises Off | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kikkuli (GB) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Bear (IRE) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top Gun Rocket | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | It’s My Life | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nyquist Frequency | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eglise | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tour Player | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Gun Rocket | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Army Hero | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Salt Lick | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Law | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vdaytothetenacious | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.