Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bo Runkle 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miti Fast Flower 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Foxey G 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bravo Regina 1.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Luminous Ruler 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ms. Lady T 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rosemary Potatoes 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vodkatini 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Lantern’s Candy 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Viking Queen 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Del Rey Dolly 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Salagadoola 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Turbo Millie 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Castellana 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nucci 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Lady Lancer 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 No More Diamonds 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Boh’s N O’s 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 London Lady 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Nami 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Red Jag 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Red Priestess 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sir Mendel 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Big Star 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mission Mike 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Hendrickson 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Coronova 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bold Licorice 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Mario’s On Point 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Inbound 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Phobia 15.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Photo Copy 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 San Andres 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dyna Mast 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Carlin Clan 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cassius 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Minxzluckystarfyre 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 DeSantis 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Running Right by U 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Justinspeightofit 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bright Forecast 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Mischievous Juan 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 We B Shackin 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Notion to Tapit 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Pictor 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Red Devolution 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Up for It 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Musical Design 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Above the Limit 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lavinia Spirit 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mexican Sugar 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Eight Danzas 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Aruma 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Kingdom Queen 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Coolcalm Collected 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boss Logic 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Antigravity 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Celestial Moon 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Complete Agenda 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Amity Road 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Amedeus Music 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Puttheglassdown 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Practical Coach 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 He’s in Charge 1.40 1.8 3-1
8 8 Inter Miami 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Magnificent Ride 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sustenance 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Hushion 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Living Water 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.