Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 So Called Vacation 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Souper Iconic 2.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Saint Templar 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Seattle Stinger 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Coprolite 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lookhowpretty 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 True Shot 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Mount Healy 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Catholic Jackie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 April de Velp 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lady Xi 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Tatoosonmysoul 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Krypto Gains 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Speedy Rose 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Thatsitthatsall 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Morning Holiday 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Gold Forester 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Practical Gizmo 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedy Pal 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Prince Sussex 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Fast and Ready 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 If You Insist 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 He Shoots He Wins 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Rock It Red 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Imperial Star 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Harper City 6.00 9 17-1
8 8 Commander At Sea 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Top of the Charts 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Walter Me Lad 20.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Executive Search 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Victory March 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Silent Miracle 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jamiesta 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Small Talk 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Master Spy 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Primo Touch 20.00 6 11-1
12 12 Legal Attack (GB) 12.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Mighty Sea 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Endless Sunset 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Echo With Laughter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hank Ollie 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Soulmate 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Taranto Titan 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 C My Meister 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Luckman 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mad Dog N Joe 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sailor’s Passion 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 One More Brew 15.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Sunrise Drive 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jmr Speedy Escape 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Rookie Radar 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 He’s Fully Loaded 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Souper River 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Sea Scout 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Canyouhearmerunnin 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Dancin’ Deputy 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Dream On Baby 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Passthepuddinpleaz 4.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Banker’s Hours 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ready Shakespeare 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moon Over Egbert 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lobby Bar 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Buck’s Fizz 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Orphan Hallie 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Valley Victory 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Valyrian Sky 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Designated Hitter 6.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Galley Head 20.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Lucys Child 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Moment of Peace 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Silent Sky 0 0-1
1 1 Go Giffen 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blameless Ghost 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Cozy Curlin Kitten 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Silent Sky 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Our Flag Flying 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Fortyfiveseventy 3.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dreams and Schemes 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Foxy Diva 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Contrivance 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Legs Like Gizmo 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Vini Vidi Vici 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Screen Legend 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Blondina’s Boy 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Hanlan 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Squeezethesharman 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Miah Said 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Wetiko 4.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Aurelian Flame 10.00 10 19-1
9 9 Good Point 3.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Manalucius 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.