Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Danzing Forest 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Glorious Life 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Desert Rocket 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Drive for Show 30.00 4 8-1
1 1 Afternoon Nap 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Miss Jo’s Curlin 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Who Is Pavel 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Canani 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keen to Go 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Donner Lake 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Dual Threat 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 John Dunbar 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Joint Venture 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Dark Marcus 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Harry’s Onthefly 5.00 1 2-1
2 1 Irish Corn 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 2 Terry’s Boy 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Mas Rapido (GB) 2.00 2 4-1
4 3 Cane Creek Road 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Instinct D’ Oro 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Inch 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 98 Mamba On Three 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thirsty Mama 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thirsty in Vegas 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Lil’ Bit Bossy 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Princess Daddy 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Legal Fiction 1.80 5.2 10-1
3 3 We the Free 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Far Over Loaded 12.00 1 2-1
10 8 Whiskyginandbrandy 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 7 Ten Figures 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 6 Its a Cinch 15.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Dynodave 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Prince Dolce 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Cullen J 1.40 4.3 8-1
2 2 P Town Prancer 3.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Imaginary Lover 0.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Miss Mrazek 0.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Shanaplan 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bowtie Boys 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Navajo Warrior 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Arromax 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Supreme Coast 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Candy’s Wildcat 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Classic Alphie 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Uplift 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sunset Storm 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Getemdusty 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tom’s Regret 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 Kitty Kitana (GB) 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Just Nails 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Doris Mae 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Vitalera (CHI) 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Speed Lane 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Granny Budgie (GB) 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 98 Getthemoney 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ricks Red Storm 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Navy Man 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Coach Cronin 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mischelof (CHI) 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Demotivate 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Don’t Hit Me Bash 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 J B Strikes Back 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Saltwater Cowboy 3.00 9 17-1
7 7 Jerry’s Spirit 4.50 9.5 18-1
2 2 Ratleff 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sea Runner 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Lee’s Baby Girl 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lolo Le Plume 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wild Rover Lady (IRE) 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Mac and Cheese 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Aleramo (IRE) 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Resolve 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Isntsheloverly 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Giggle Giggle 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 98 Amorita 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.