Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Danzing Forest |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Glorious Life |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Desert Rocket |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Drive for Show |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Afternoon Nap |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Jo’s Curlin |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Who Is Pavel |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Canani |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Keen to Go |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Donner Lake |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dual Threat |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
John Dunbar |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joint Venture |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dark Marcus |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Harry’s Onthefly |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Irish Corn |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Terry’s Boy |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mas Rapido (GB) |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Cane Creek Road |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Instinct D’ Oro |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Inch |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
98 |
Mamba On Three |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Thirsty Mama |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thirsty in Vegas |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lil’ Bit Bossy |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Daddy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Legal Fiction |
1.80 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
We the Free |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Far Over Loaded |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
8 |
Whiskyginandbrandy |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
7 |
Ten Figures |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Its a Cinch |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dynodave |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prince Dolce |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Cullen J |
1.40 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
P Town Prancer |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
98 |
Imaginary Lover |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
98 |
Miss Mrazek |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
98 |
Shanaplan |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bowtie Boys |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Navajo Warrior |
15.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Arromax |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Supreme Coast |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Candy’s Wildcat |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Alphie |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Uplift |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunset Storm |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Getemdusty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tom’s Regret |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kitty Kitana (GB) |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Nails |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Doris Mae |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vitalera (CHI) |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speed Lane |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Granny Budgie (GB) |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
98 |
Getthemoney |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ricks Red Storm |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Navy Man |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coach Cronin |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mischelof (CHI) |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Demotivate |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Hit Me Bash |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
J B Strikes Back |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saltwater Cowboy |
3.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jerry’s Spirit |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ratleff |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sea Runner |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lee’s Baby Girl |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lolo Le Plume |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Rover Lady (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mac and Cheese |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aleramo (IRE) |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Resolve |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Isntsheloverly |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Giggle Giggle |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
98 |
Amorita |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.