Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Romantic Story 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rye Smile 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Whatta World 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Donate Life 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Police Woman 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 In Her Cups 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lenamagnetta 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Coracle 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sweetcatherinerose 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Marian Cross (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Don’t Listen 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lottie Deno 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 How Sweet She Is 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Yumyum Eat Em Up 10.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Irish Coco 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Feelin So Lucky 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Whatsyourbigidea 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Diane Lee 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Conquerthosewecan 1.80 3.7 7-1
6 6 Cachinnation 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Nick’s Notion 30.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Souper Mischievous 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Quadra 6.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Justifiable Star 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Raven Dance 10.00 9.3 18-1
14 14 Maria Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Souper Amusing 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fontabelle 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 The Sugars 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Secure’s Hope 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quiz Whiz 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 High Breeze (FR) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cybertime 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Unswayed 1.80 2.3 4-1
9 9 Gambe Forte 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Surprise Hello 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Corrected Pedigree 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Twirling Express 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Elusive Image 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Nancy Made My Day 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Beware of Pride 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 J R Jone Z 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Athletic Star 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pistol Liz Ablazen 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Baby Sox 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Six the Hard Way 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sweet Talia 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Congress Hall 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bootsy’s Merlot 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Always Connected 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Virginia Fitz 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Saxton 5.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Fire Pit 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Little Bit Risky 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Stormy Flight 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 War Humor 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Just for the Money 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Kissling 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Jus Too Fly 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sir Mick 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beau Ciel 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jungle Glow 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 3 Running River 1.60 1.1 2-1
2 1 Eye On the Candy 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Caerus 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 10 Shoot Themessenger 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Toast to Coast 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Supreme Dominance 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 9 Daredavite 15.00 6.1 11-1
1A 8 Winged Foot 1.60 SCRATCH
3 2 Southern Lad 30.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Malinois 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Union Suit 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Red Hat Hanna 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Preparefortakeoff 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Sultry Sally H 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 T C Neigh 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Trixie’s Time 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lilly Simone 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lady Ensign 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wise and Elegant 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Heart 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Wellareyouhappynow 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lady d’Oro 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Orderofthephoenix (IRE) 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Remember Me 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Molly of Stratford 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Cora’s Choice 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Shared Authority 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Closertotheheart 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Peace Out 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sweet Factor 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.