Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gatlinburg | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parkway | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overstatement | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernin Hot | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ask Arthur | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Season Fighter | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Houdini | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | West Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Capps | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War and Majesty | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scorpius | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Test Score | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Backdown | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Helicity | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | High Ceiling | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coalmoon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gave Proof | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Major Mischief | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Modiano | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | No Rematch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rag Tree | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Authentic Gallop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sand Cast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C’Est Cheese | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Thanksgiving | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Islander | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Attitude | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Dollar a Day | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord I Wonder | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Magic | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flight to Paris | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Upon a Star | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C’Est Cheese | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerseys Parade | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ebhaaj | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigieux | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Magic | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Purple | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eclatant | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamgirl | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wauneka | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit First | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empirical Mischief | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Camila Run | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thunder Kin | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Witchcraft | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Butterfly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Olivia Maralda (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Excellent Question | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sanctify | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Self Confident | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | School Dance | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stylish Sue | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good American (GB) | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paint Me Perfect | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Mo | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yarborough | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Walkn | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For the Biscuit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hold My Bourbon | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Richie M | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notah | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ajaayb | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air of Defiance | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Banned for Life | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Polster | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montalcino | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Born Flawless | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Linebacker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Federal Judge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nakatomi | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Buddy B | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here Mi Song | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comedy Town | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swirvin | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manny Wah | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banjo Chris | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shezafunkydrummer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | May Day Ready | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Give Life | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sashay Away | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somethinabouther | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Italian Soiree | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Lonelle | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Totally Justified | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isle of Capri | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Destino d’Oro | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ballerina d’Oro | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mechaya | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Daisy Flyer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Virgin Colada | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Correto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | She’s Got Will | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Darley Alcibiades S.) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immersive | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Immersive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quietside | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam in the Dust | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sherbini | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Continuity | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rich City Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quickick | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Queens M G | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cloudwalker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Etrurian | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baraye | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amidst Waves | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tambo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Niki Nine Doors | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Independenceavenue | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Xtreme Diva | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Share the Blessing | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zo Lee | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Cupcake | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dorothy Crowfoot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.