Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lucky in Love |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wicked Kitten |
1.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
La de Peluche |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heavenly Ciella |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pretty Coast |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chachita |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Paradise Valley |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Excitable Boy |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rainy Skies |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Get Set |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meet Me At Mundis |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Showstopper Copper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Portis |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toady Hopper |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Long Astride |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tabloid |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Walker’s Gap |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lilengthatcould |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mary Katherine |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fire At Midnight |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Surprisingly Sweet |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Nell |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mya C |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Peaches |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Canny Land |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Bottom Girl |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bella Mama |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Smart Red |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Search |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Zoomer |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Helms Deep |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Canadian Pharoah |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Striking Speed |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Edge of Glory |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Greyzer |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Home School |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Tiger |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bar Down Express |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Run Cory Run |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Trophy Room |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Afy Kid |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hidden Motive |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grey Flannel Boss |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whizbang |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quahog Republic |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kakao |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kitten’s Ploy |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chill Boss |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flame Dancer |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Surfin’ M |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
What Does It Take |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Street Glide |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jasper’s Pride |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Optical Bijou |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Renewing Vows |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Colora Kid |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aspiring Comedian |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Olive Kat |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Betcha Boots Babe |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lovely Liza |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Parisian Vibe |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thunder Boss |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fabulous Candy |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.