Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sorority Prank 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Executive Move 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Accidental Bid 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tiz the Prince 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Burn Rubber 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Humstinger 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thegirlfromireland 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 In Time (FR) 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Quarrel 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Allamericanbeauty 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Therearenorules 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Lady Firefoot 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Toned Up 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Eternal Silence 1.40 SCRATCH
10 10 Ichiban 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Autumn Evening 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apollo Code 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Graywing 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Stewie 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sandy Sweet Tooth 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Very Stormy 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Camm’ Duke 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Brick Ambush 1.80 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Surprenant Cocca 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Next On Stage 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Tongue Twister 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Settling Storm 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Silent Melody 10.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Sweet Dutchess 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 She Is Invincible (GB) 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Quite Continental 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 More Mango 30.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Thorny 30.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Spooky Lady 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pallotta Sisters 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 She’s Cool 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tour Jete 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 It’s Hot in Here (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Futurity S.) – Futurity S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mentee 0 0-1
5 5 Under Who’s Radar 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 I’m Otter Here 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mentee 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Epitaph 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 In the Chase 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Gate to Wire 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Joey Muscles 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Chasing Liberty 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roswell 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Cara’s Time 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Golden Degree 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 I’mhavingamoment 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Killy Start 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Status Seeker 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Kid’s Last Laugh 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waya S.) – Waya S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Beautiful Love (IRE) 0 0-1
7 7 McKulick (GB) 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 La Mehana (FR) 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Immensitude (FR) 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Idea Generation (IRE) 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Beautiful Love (IRE) 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Avenue Niel (IRE) 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Movie Moxy 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Surprisingly 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Amanda’s Folly 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Peak Popularity 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Star Fortress (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Final Denile 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Li’l Lang 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Volkert 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Heymackit’sjack 4.50 3.3 6-1
12 12 Master Freud 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Eddie the Great 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Twisted Filigree 4.50 4.5 9-1
9 9 Your Man Alex 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Empire Sky 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Street Rod 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Noble Huntsman 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Noble Journey 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.