Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Up in Flames 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Pipi N Mimi 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Flex Warrior 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Gordito 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bad Boy Blaze 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Gala Star 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Work for Peace 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Walkonthewildside 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steam Knot 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dead Sexy 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Intro 30.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Keep It Sweet 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Not Guilty 1.60 2.4 4-1
3 3 Kake’s Tap Dancer 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 X Gene 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Working On It 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Independence Way 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Baywatch Blonde 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Super Spin 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Iced Mocha 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 My Sugar Boo 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Tooshay 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 South Pacific 4.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Skip Thru Da Fire 30.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Just the Thing 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Divine Spirit 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Frosty Maya 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stormy Irish Lass 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Radiant Tones 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Drink Deeply 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Gotanothathingcomn 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Boys Go to Jupiter 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Smilingontheinside 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Abundant Love 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gathered 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pharoah’s Marc 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Canadian Bear 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Winning Streep 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 The Sugars 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Julia’s a Fox 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Commemorative 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Seger Songs 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Social Love 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American Law 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tops the Chart 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Mose Perfect 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Cajun Dream 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Penny Loafer 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Energy Efficient 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Your Analysis 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Martini Martin 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Inevtabl Conection 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mr. Hustle 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Easy Action 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Matta 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Smooth Flyin Mike 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Cloudy 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Noble Jon 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fluid Situation 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Vamos Viejo 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Coast Along 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Barzini 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stickwiththecolors 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spencerian 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Planet Clare 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Stop the Cap 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Venomous Vixen 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Coal Mine 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Sweet Heidelberg 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Marley’s Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Derbyness 1.40 1 2-1
10 10 Italian Symphony 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Steady John 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Hometown Hero 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mister Agent 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Kerouac 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 P Money 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Missionaire 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gettin’downonit 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prowling Tiger 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.