Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shakin the Belle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Nugget | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liberte de Bayeux | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Suite Boy | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forced Errors | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Tides | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Because the Night | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrebato | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anthracite | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Swagger | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Alex | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scotto | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barese | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ski Country | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Glimpse | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winter’s Ghost | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mason Mania | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allaboutthemoney | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandpa’s Kid | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giroovin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Salvation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reteko | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Mission | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ozzy | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calvin’s Ride | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dignified Response | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Papa’s Nico Boy | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Max N Fifo | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gormley’s Secret | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mythical Man | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sky Masterson | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wilding Lane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Prichard | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Printer’s Alley | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Arctic Outbreak | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tipsy Runner | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Quick Power Nap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alette d’Oro | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 1.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Linarite | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sun and Wind | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bonnie T | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sassy Allie | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lilly Lane | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Try It Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starry Midnight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Malu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Poseidon’s Mist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Houlton | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Devil | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wajda | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paxsational | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Trumpet | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missouri River | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glint | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Looks First | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Street View | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gio Ponti S.) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donegal Momentum | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Momentum | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruddy Buddy | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vesting (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Process | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Nelson | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palm Tree | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In a Jam | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piper’s Factor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Me To Church (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silver Satin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Main Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mission North | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yo Daddy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tam I Am | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Gunner | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | So Darn Pretty (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Liza | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Contract Law | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Quest | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Princess | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pionus | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not the First Time | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonscape | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Have a Happy | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Campaign Secret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.