Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dreamwithinadream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dubai Fire | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morales Little Kid | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bailamos | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Pass Time | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Simon’s Choice | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dudewithaname | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trustme Iamadoctor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devine Flameaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Pearl | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastalness | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lino and Me | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exhale | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Rhapsody | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleanor Rigby | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marion Grace | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tweet Away Robin | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dantastic | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Princess | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Ruby | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea’s Theme | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matoula | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Most Unusual Day | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Cruiser | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Shanty | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quill Pen | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Raven | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Save the Union | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arden Ar | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lynx | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exotic Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lost in Thought | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Steam Knot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildncrazynight | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Defined Boundaries | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildncrazynight | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawkstone | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twin Lights | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leo’s Legacy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steen | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Set for Life | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Joker | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Ready | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Express | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Hot Mess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Chill | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Summer Love | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nicky Jolene | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Dutchess | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leo’s Pisces | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legend of Light | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shaymyname | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Proper Grammar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Carolina Sun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Private Credit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Afterneath | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Nancy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Play Free Bird | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haleigh B | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Chloe | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Q | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blaze On | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popover Gal | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Floge | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ribbonsinherhair | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deeds of Love | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shining Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Name Willow | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Jewel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Spin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Is Golden | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Martha | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Udidn’tpay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.