Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Navy Rules | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Knight | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sueno Profundo (ARG) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mil Doscientos | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Woody | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Place | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys and Bullets | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summary Judgment | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Groove | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vitaemi | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | That’stony’ssister | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Peach Perfect | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Battalia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Union Belle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Like Crazy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Problems Abound | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Girl’s No Joke | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Upstart | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victoriousvictoria | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coco Shell | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tycoon | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holdtheflight | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Act | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Balantyne | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Return | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hop On Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vanellope | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie K | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alma Brilha | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sallatwitter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Violent Affair | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Opportunity | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal the Deal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant Embrace | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Chaser | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Cupid | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ree Nee’s Six | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Civil Notion | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Cadence | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sirani | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keithsendshelloooo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magicnthemoonlight | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Wait Up | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Young Squire | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Mi Tolee | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simovitch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Action Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriarchal | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amore d’Oro | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Dancer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Grotte | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Lord | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Utility | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.