Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chasing Stardom 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Commingling 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Fenwick Jack 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Code Enforcer 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Scamp Walker 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Awesome for Sure 1.80 5 9-1
2 2 Gamerun 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Rabbit 8.00 8 15-1
9 9 Financial Strength 4.50 8.1 15-1
3 3 Keep Dem Talking 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Bluey 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stay Opportunistic 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bahamian Baby 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Tan Pam 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Norho’s Gamble 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Incan Moon Goddess 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Dixie Music 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Picardy 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Orb’s Party Girl 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Twinkle Twinkle 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Maryvic 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fireball Express 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Namora 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Chit Chat Chub 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pesadilla Chanel 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Shudabeenacowgirl 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Ode to Edie 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Neighbelline 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heart Light 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Captivating Cara 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Popthechampagne Ro 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Expect to Be Ready 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Peacelovenkarma 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Lean On E 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Boca Royalty 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Obstinate 8.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Hightime Valentine 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mizzen Man 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Predicted 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jova 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Captain Cardo 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Notable Bob (CHI) 3.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 Olliemeister 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Minxzhippsdontleye 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lemon Creek Louie 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ahsad 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Big Brown Shoes 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Henrythethird 15.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Summer Ash 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sensible Jim 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast Bob 4.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Crafty Don 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Sea Trident 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Pylon 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dalton 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Copperhead Creek 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lookin’ Super 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 The Bearrish One 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 The Angry Man 15.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Indirectly 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sansa Ariel 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Angelic Storm 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bella Maria 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Cinque Amore 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Road to Dreams 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Miss Alex 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Cup of Life 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Akna 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Win Dixie Ronnie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Calling 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Rewards 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Yes Sir Colonel 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Assembly Point (BRZ) 5.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Brilliant Chase 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Itwasthedevilsidea 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Last Romance 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gilda’s Girl 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Cinnamon 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tempest Rising 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Amy Mule 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Snow Lake 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Summersattheshore 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Royal Party 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Diane’s Merlot 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kingsville 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Brindisi 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Lord Winsalot 6.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 First Deputy 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Up Against It 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Chain Reaction 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Star Weaver 6.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Smart and Fast 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Cousin Andrew 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Rahmer 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Hibachi 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 True Dakotan 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Mischievous Juan 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.