Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patrolman 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Jo Daddy 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Fabelman 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Agile Dancer 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Good Sin 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bearing Down 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dubawi Bull 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Posturing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diomedes 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Causin’ Mayhem 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jaggersgotagun 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 British Artillery 2.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hey Cue 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Its Time to Shine 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Midnight Tempesta 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Issano 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Colonel Mustard 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Might Bee Speedy 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Royal Hudson 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cornwall 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Flawless Ruler 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Green Amazon 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Victoria’s Chief 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Geneva 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chicago Typhoon 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Silver Smoke 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Under Surveillance 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Awesome Entry 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sugar It’s Eli 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sparklet 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Profesorridesagain 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Panyard Tap 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 My Munnings Model 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Most Likely 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Crucial Taunt 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 The Big Zapper 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Gerald 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Globetrotting 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Maki Monarchy 15.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Doadster 10.00 5 10-1
5 5 Golden Truth 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Itsastormymonday 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Conn Smythe (GB) 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Coco Cool 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Armino 20.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Wagstaff 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Adapted 2.00 1 2-1
13 13 Captivating Name 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Tiernan 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Go Kart Mozart 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 I’manislandboy 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Reggie Boy 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Aim Don’t Miss 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Deputy Daddy 12.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Bennys Jets 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Dark Screen 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Mikey Boy 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Tiger Town 12.00 8.5 16-1
15 15 Irish Deputy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Souper Strider 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Puzzlement 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boston Tea Party 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Clayton 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Indian Peak 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 War Strategy 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Hunt Master 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Blast in the Snow 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Perfect Crime 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gilt Edge 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Giant Teddy 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Forest Buzz 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Paintthetownsilver 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Quite Ready 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mt Logan 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 The Great Oz 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Society’s Thunder 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Adelaide Court 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Breeders’ S.) – Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roscar 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hurricane Clair 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Side Street 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 King Rosso 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jokestar 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Saccharine 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Thor’s Cause 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Just for Luck 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fanore (IRE) 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 War in Charge 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Lucky Romance 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Legal Catch 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 On Thin Ice 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hemlo Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Lil Bit Gangsta 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Penner Ash (IRE) 15.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Day Tripper 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Myra’s Boy 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.