Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Santarena 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Prosper 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Laugier Night (IRE) 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Hurricane Way 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Western Avenue 30.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 English Icon 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Concord Bridge 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 My Hero 15.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Sine Qua Non 30.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Imagineer 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Chipper Me Timbers 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magic Account 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 The Big Cheeseola 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Chasing Rain 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Big Splash 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Devilnthebluegras 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 This Is a Joke 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Soul of a Warrior 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Why Behave 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Councilwoman Jilly 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Gray Frost 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Warrior Lady 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dance Kid 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Aloha Kitten 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweet Hello 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zip Om 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Forty Niner Gold 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Moon Ice 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lemon Sushi 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 I’m Ripped 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Piper’s Causeway 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Double Jab 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Supernal 4.50 4.8 9-1
12 11 Eddie’s Last 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 McGregor Lake 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bag’s Gold 15.00 6 11-1
10 98 Rachel’s Coach 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Speedy Wilson 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Got’m Cot’m 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Nap 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Charmz Away 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Sir Tom 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Three Georges 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hothead 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Grey Power 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Falcon Wings 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Give Me the Lute 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Exultation 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hot Box 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 One Flew South 15.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Law Abiding 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Patron d’Oro 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Whatmakessammyrun 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Jetovator 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Chasin Munny 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 My Summer Dream 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Commander (FR) 15.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 So I’m Told 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Moody Jim (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Coulthard (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Zenyatta S.) – Zenyatta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nothing Like You 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Alpha Bella 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Che Evasora (ARG) 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Desert Dawn 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Sugar Fish 5.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Flying Connection 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Straight Luck 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Jack Sixpack 12.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Capital Outlay 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Belly Up 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Refocus 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tizz a Good Thing 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Chick’s Dig It 10.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Rhino 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Hacking It Up 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Kerry Gold 20.00 5 10-1
9 9 Capo Luigi 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Travelin’ Show 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S. Presented By Estrella Jalisco

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 For All Mankind 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Straight No Chaser 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Fort Bragg 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Neiman 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Roll On Big Joe 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 See Through It 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mbagnick (CHI) 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Moment’s Pleasure 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Sneaker 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Loterie (IRE) 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Watchtower 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ima Joker 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Baltic Fire 30.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Uffda 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bottle Rocket (FR) 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tiaraqueen (GB) 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 She Is Romantic 12.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Blue Oasis 30.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Vibez 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hannah Buckle (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.