Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whiting Field 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Disattached 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Salvattore Prince 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Downing Street 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Alasdair 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Manhattan Boy 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sting Music 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Steeler Mischief 4.50 6.5 12-1
11 11 Guildenstern (IRE) 12.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Giuro 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Broadcaster 30.00 11.6 22-1
12 12 Chromotion 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Noble Tiger 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Into You 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Speed Control 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Don’t Fool With Me 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Maddy R 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 With Kindness 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Slew Diva 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Seeyouinmydreams 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Volatiled 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rip Riding Away 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Miss Ocala 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Geaux Amy 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Rancho Vista 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Edith 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Miss Paola 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Camm’s Princess 5.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Star Game 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Miss Morgan 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Insisting 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Acquired Class 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Star of the Beast 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Don’t Answer 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Wine Empire 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Cacique Abarrio 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Vinicio 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Uncaptured Star 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Boy Jak 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Strengthnguidance 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 I Know I Know 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Shace Sloane 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Highly Potent 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Incanto (IRE) 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Moneylove 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Amor Gitano 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Il Alchemysta 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miguel’s Belle 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Patty’s Having Fun 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 How Bout Dat 4.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Devra Warrior 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Pola of Trouble 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Marthamaywhovier 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Burn the Breeze 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Win Or Cellar 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Obliging 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Me Governor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Popstyle 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Glory Glory 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Thee New Beginning 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Solidaria 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Kurutu 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Light the Torch 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Truth and Honesty 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grimes 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Raka Raka Cruz 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Gabagool 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Oxymore 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Neophyte 2.50 7.9 15-1
3 3 Frosted Faith 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Feast 10.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Smokin Cloud 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Boomcchero 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Concrete Glory 1.20 1.2 2-1
1 1 Life Is Precious 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Readier 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Saybrook 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Icelander 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tshiebwe 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Marshamarshamarsha 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Rachels Song 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sizzle 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Bet Stormy 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sprezzatura 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sarah’s Dream 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Wow Lucky 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Arisaema 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Slender Slipper 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Saucy Six 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.