Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiki Krazy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pens Street | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cant Keep Me Down | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Rose | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windy Walk | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady June | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chiquita Mosca | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo for Us | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moringa | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Serengeti | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impractical Diva | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Quick | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yume | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sonhador | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Lane | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Avery | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Churning Berni | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fazools | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Label | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palace Lights | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Mystical Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Bunny | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chica Arma | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Air Force Thunder | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Pom Pom | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Quality | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Lights | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vaden | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Guvnah | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stunning Bruno | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lou Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Beatle | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vsop | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Huevos d’Oro | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Lee | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kerner | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Begforforgiveness | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Padiddle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commuted | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elko County | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come to Papa | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Freedom | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Lamb | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Show Time | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Berley | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sutherland | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City of Clouds | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Nation | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dewy’s Beast | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Starlet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Current Climate | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connie K | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laura’s Charm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Happy Am I | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ducale | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snead | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Horace Mann | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Hush This | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stretch Ride | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Kentucky | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lugan Knight | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Fast | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Hat Willie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shirley Ann | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Asset | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderland | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souk Plaza | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paris Lily | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Mom | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nancy Lynn | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Liberty | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel Box | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Banking Silver | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Em Too | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevenon | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.