Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Obrigada | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesalittle Edgy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Awesome Annmarie | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tyrona | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tosconova Beauty | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie the Joker | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mon Petit Chou | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Gringotts | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Carbon | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Gallant Bloom S.) – Gallant Bloom S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Fudge | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nic’s Style | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ways and Means | 0.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Silver | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Rose | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Nelson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pourquoi Pas | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Index Fund | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party With Smarty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Balthazar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Father Dalton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Summer in Erin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wizardofez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Perretti (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince James | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Heat | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optic Way | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hatch | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Mark | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Weekend | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afternoon Heat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldini | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Uncorrelated | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ice Time | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Express | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frizzante | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willintoriskitall | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Az U Chase Me | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masterwork | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Officer Derick | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Now and Later | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Decanted | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Barnstorming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vince the Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Adventurous Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Royal Browne | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jhirsch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rockible | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Swift | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Army Proud | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Prankster | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monsignor O’Grady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | One Vision | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joker On Fire | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Kreesa | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vekinda | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Birthday | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Son of Honor | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Wholesale | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tap It Easy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nyikos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Renew the Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dare’s Edge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Get a Job | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noonzio | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Larry | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob John Ray | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Realm | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Central | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Co Conspirator | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Provision | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boys Code | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Grillo S.) – Miss Grillo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Virgin Colada | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shifty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | May Day Ready | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scythian | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salt | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Correto | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rare Art | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Opulent Restraint (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marvelous Madison | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace and Grit | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pookie | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Goodbody | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Conduct | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Pandagate | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Runnin’ Ray | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Day | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hamilton’s Way | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Creation | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gray’s Fable | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Street Ready | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Be Like Clint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Laurel Valley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brees | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unclecharliesgift | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Harry Hood | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tifareeh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Copper Missile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | L’Antharis (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.