Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bachelor Pad 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Swaggish 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Peja Du 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nonno’s Little Boy 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Classy Whisper 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Confusing 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Embrace My Uncle 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Argentium 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Twisted Romance 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tianma 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ondine Lady 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Peggy 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Miramichi 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mrs. C 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Magic Token 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sharp Flame 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Secret Load 3.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Great Kate 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 McGill 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Neenah 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Betty Gizmo 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Prized Spirit 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tabei 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Still Dancing 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Silent Sunshine 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Scary Boo 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mobula 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Periwinkle 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Scat Girl 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Dancin Mary Marie 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Pop Rox 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tandhoneywithane 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Nata Trouble 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Closing Appeal 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Double Tap 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mean to Me 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rose of Sharon 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sweet Passions 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Herethereverywhere 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Dancing in Rio 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Peace Posey 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Hidden Image 8.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Can’t Buy Class 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Sinful Forester 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Rolling Roxxx 20.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Down by the Sea 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brengungirl 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ruthless Action 12.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Zippy Gamble 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Wegottatalk 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Fanny M 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Proud Mischief 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dancetotherhythm 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 The Scarlet Tiara 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Takemybourbonneat 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wellness 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Motown Funk 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Talbot Heirloom 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Beautiful Crazy 1.60 5.1 10-1
3 3 Nicki Is a Breeze 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Social Code 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Ca Bam 20.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Outforarip 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Just Like That 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bit of Music 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bedtime 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 More Money Hunny 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 French Laundry (GB) 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Lunch With Bernie 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cry Freedom 20.00 2 4-1
4 4 Charlottesapproval 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Last Call 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Miss Roberts (GB) 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Storms of Life 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Awasef 15.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Anita Margarita 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ontario 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Blameless Ghost 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Durham Cup S.) – Durham Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stanley House 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Paramount Prince 0.20 1 2-1
3 3 Dresden Row 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Ron’s Gizmo 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rapid Test 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Veri Gizmo 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Sunny Valentine 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Wicked Mercury 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Foolish Games 15.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Society’s Kat 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Alliston 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Olympic Fencer 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Bolt Enoree 4.00 9 17-1
9 9 Addendum 20.00 9.3 17-1
10 10 Hay Hay Paula 20.00 11.7 22-1
12 12 Izatiz 20.00 11.9 22-1
8 8 Anam Cara 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.