Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Insolent |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Abarrio |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Praiseworthy |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Palpito |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Plebeian |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bullet Blues |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jiminy |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rags Special |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashover |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mister Cooper |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nimmo |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dixie Preach |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blaze of Color |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Magellan |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highland Peak |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ragman |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dynamic Empire |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mish |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Loco Abarrio |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hurricane J |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Effect |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sound of the Beast |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gatsby |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sheila’s Mission |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nelida |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captivating Sound |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marvelous Lady |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Naa Dudette |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Musical Journey |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anonymous Source |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Repaynt |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Holiday Fantasy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boldness |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trappezoid |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Friends Beer |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Millennium Condo |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Burning Man |
2.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drillomatic |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tank |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lawler |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Paradise |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always a Gentleman |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sneaky Sneaky |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zaddy |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bohemian Style |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roundtriptoitaly |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mrs. Katz |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Escape Room |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Rotondo |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unrelentless |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Free to Roam |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mobay Princess |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Plagne Champagne |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady O’Brien |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gimme Mo Baby |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
C. S. Vivace |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Welcome Back |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Stiletto Heels |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crimson |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trevess |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girvin Girl |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Qualificata |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brown Eyed Beauty |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Temptation |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hollywood Beach S.) – Hollywood Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Nostalgia’s Smile |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mila’s Wish |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghostly Rose |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lazio |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Most Handsome |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Discreet Dancer |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moon Factor |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Noble N Magical |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bizymaline |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grey Princess |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Band Luzziann |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crystal Coast |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cabernet |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sandpiper Memories |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wicklow Gal |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dubstep |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Streaking Grey |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Worldly Beauty |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Zozan |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
War Beat |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catch a Tiger |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Themanupfront |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honesto |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roar Ready |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Street Earnings |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Advance |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reminder |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Private Thoughts |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.